Monday, 24 October 2011

India losing game to China in private equity space

Not very long ago, India’s 330-million-strong consumerist middle class, the need for massive investments in infrastructure, healthcare and education, and its role as a hedge against export-oriented China, comprised a compelling story for private equity (PE) investors around the globe.
Not anymore. The industry is facing challenges, both internal and external, and is going through some very interesting trends. Here are some of them.
Indian PE: No longer the darling of global institutional investors
India clearly seems to have lost its place in Asia to China and Indonesia as far as preference from PE investors goes. There are a variety of reasons for the same. Some of the major ones are:
1. Competition from renminbi-denominated PE funds from China: There has been a rapid transformation of the PE market in China, from one that is dominated by foreign PE firms to a market in which domestic renminbi (RMB)-denominated funds are being launched thick and fast. The latter have few ownership restrictions, strong government support and less regulatory oversight as China aggressively tries to internationalise the RMB.
It is not surprising then that global bigwigs like Carlyle Group, Blackstone and TPG have rushed into joint ventures with Chinese state-owned enterprises and municipal governments to launch local currency-denominated PE funds. For the global investors of these PE firms it is a double bonanza – exposure to the RMB and the explosively growing Chinese economy at the same time. As if marketing these funds wasn’t easy enough, government backing to them gives additional comfort to the investors. It is no surprise then that China is beating India hands down when it comes to attracting capital from global LPs (Limited partners, or investors).
2. Lack of exits in Indian PE space: Owing to a volatile (and mostly downward trending) stock market for the better part of this year, exits via IPOs or even sale in the secondary market (PIPE – private investment in public equity) have been few and far between and, most importantly, haven’t generated the kind of returns investors had hoped for. The Indian stock market, as everybody knows, is driven by foreign institutional investor (FII) inflows, which have been quick to leave the country due to global macroeconomic events (read : fears of US recession and sovereign debt crisis in Europe).

China is beating India hands down when it comes to attracting capital from global investors. AFP
China’s stock markets, in contrast, are largely driven by domestic investors and thus it is easier to exit positions in Chinese private equity space.
3. Mind-set of Indian GPs: A large number of investors are not happy with the mind-set of Indian general partners (GPs, or the fund managers) and, rightfully so, in my opinion. According to them, Indian GPs are more focused on deal making and don’t concentrate enough on adding value to the company, which is what a GP is paid for. Consequently many of them fail to generate an internal rate of return (IRR) of 15-17 percent, which is the expectation of global investors from India after adding country risk premium.
Regulations: Sebi’s draft rules are not very encouraging
The Securities and Exchange Board of India (Sebi) came out with a concept paper on the regulation of Alternative Investment Funds in August 2011. Frankly, the timing of the move surprised me as India, which runs a current account deficit, needs to do all it can to encourage foreign inflows in the country to finance the same. However, I guess that the regulators have a different thought process from mine.
Many of the proposed regulations in the concept paper are questionable, and a few are listed below:
1. Sebi (Alternative Investment Funds) Regulations: It would be mandatory for all private pools of capital or investment funds to be registered with Sebi in one of the nine categories provided by them. Three of these categories are Pipe Funds, PE funds, and infrastructure equity funds.
This would be nothing but a cost and logistical burden for PE funds in India as they have to do multiple registrations in order to execute the investment strategies they have stated in their Investor Memoranda.
For example, a PE fund that wants to do invest in unlisted companies as well as do Pipe deals will have to register in both categories. If it is an infrastructure sector-focused PE fund (and there are many around owing to the tremendous promise held by the infrastructure sector in the country), it will have to get registered in three categories out of the nine!
2. Fund Structure: The sponsor of the fund shall contribute from its own account an amount of investment equal to at least 5 percent of the fund and this shall be locked in till the redemption by the last investor in the fund.
General partners having skin in the game isn’t a new phenomenon in the PE industry. However, putting a floor on their investment is certainly not very common. While the intent here seems to be right (that of ensuring that the GPs take care of investor interests), this regulation effectively means that start-up fund managers can’t raise large enough funds even if they have the capability to do so as they will have put forward 5 percent of the assets under management from their own sources. Hence we can reasonably expect large PE funds in India to be run by the likes of Blackstone, Carlyle and others of their ilk who have deep pockets.
The recent changes in foreign direct investment (FDI) policy will also have a negative impact on the PE industry in India. The government said in its recent policy that FDI cannot come in with a put or call option. The Department of Industrial Policy and Promotion said that if any equity instrument, like compulsory or mandatory convertible debentures, or fully compulsory and mandatory convertible preference shares, are attached with any option, then that will not be considered FDI, but an external commercial borrowing (ECB).
This rule will prevent PE firms from incorporating the ‘re-up’ clause which basically includes a mechanism that entitles the PE investor to a higher equity stake in future as the company’s EBITDA (earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation)  grows. I don’t think any GP in India would be happy with this option being taken away from him/her.
Top honchos launching their own ‘personality’ driven funds
The trend of leaving an established PE major and starting one’s own PE fund was kick-started by Renuka Ramnath, former chief of ICICI Venture in 2009. She has been followed by a host of other well-known names in the PE space in India, with the latest one being Manish Kejriwal, head of India, Africa and Middle East operations at Temasek Holdings, the Singapore-government owned sovereign wealth fund.

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